MIN @ MIA · YOYOPICK

NBA · Match centerOct 21

Away

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

49–33

Tip-off

7:30 PM

Local time

Home

MIA

Miami Heat

43–39

Model 61% MIAMarket 51% · +10 pts

Pre-game view

Model picks

3 picks

Winner
MIA
61% · mkt 51%
Over/under
UNDER 243
model 241.5
Proj score
MIN
116
MIA
126
Separate score model

01 · Why

Why the model leans MIA

real factors only

No injury or back-to-back adjustments for this game.

Model in MIN–MIA games: no graded meetings yet · winner picks overall 70% (7–3, early)

02 · Props

Props

sorted by edge

No props for this game yet.

03 · Matchup

Matchup

season per game

MINMIA

115.6

Off rating

115.8

112.5

Def rating (lower is better)

113.6

101.5

Pace

104.2

118.0

Points

120.9

44.1

Rebounds

46.3

26.1

Assists

29.0

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Last 10
new first

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04 · Head to head

H2H

last 7 finished meetings

MIN 6 W

head to head

1 W MIA

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Oct 21, 2026
This game
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–
Feb 6, 2027
Upcoming · 3:00 PM
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125 (won)
Oct 10, 2026
at MIA
124 (lost)
122 (won)
Jan 6, 2026
at MIN
94 (lost)
125 (won)
Jan 3, 2026
at MIA
115 (lost)
106 (won)
Mar 7, 2025
at MIA
104 (lost)
94 (lost)
Nov 10, 2024
at MIN
95 (won)
112 (won)
Dec 18, 2023
at MIA
108 (lost)
106 (won)
Oct 28, 2023
at MIN
90 (lost)

05 · Lineups

Lineups & injuries

Projected from season role. Not a confirmed lineup.

MIN

Projected starters

Anthony Edwards

28.8 pts · 5.0 reb · 3.7 ast

Julius Randle

21.1 pts · 6.7 reb · 5.0 ast

Jaden McDaniels

14.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.7 ast

Ayo Dosunmu

14.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.6 ast

Naz Reid

13.6 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.2 ast

MIA

Projected starters

Bam Adebayo

20.1 pts · 10.0 reb · 3.2 ast

Tyler Herro

20.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 4.1 ast

Norman Powell

21.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

15.4 pts · 5.0 reb · 4.7 ast

Andrew Wiggins

15.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.7 ast

Injuries & Suspensions

Suspension data unavailable. Injuries only.

MIN

No reported injuries.

MIA

Bam Adebayo

Groin

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