DEN @ GSW · YOYOPICK

NBA · Match centerDec 25

Away

DEN

Denver Nuggets

54–28

Tip-off

10:30 PM

Local time

Home

GSW

Golden State Warriors

37–45

Model 54% GSWMarket 46% · +9 pts

Pre-game view

Model picks

3 picks

Winner
GSW
54% · mkt 46%
Over/under
UNDER 240
model 239.0
Proj score
DEN
120
GSW
119
Separate score model

01 · Why

Why the model leans GSW

real factors only

No injury or back-to-back adjustments for this game.

Model in DEN–GSW games: no graded meetings yet · winner picks overall 70% (7–3, early)

02 · Props

Props

sorted by edge

No props for this game yet.

03 · Matchup

Matchup

season per game

DENGSW

121.2

Off rating

113.8

116.0

Def rating (lower is better)

114.4

99.5

Pace

100.0

122.1

Points

114.6

44.0

Rebounds

42.3

29.0

Assists

28.9

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Last 10
new first

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04 · Head to head

H2H

last 10 finished meetings

DEN 7 W

head to head

3 W GSW

–
Oct 26, 2026
Upcoming · 10:00 PM
–
–
Dec 25, 2026
This game
–
–
Mar 12, 2027
Upcoming · 10:00 PM
–
116 (won)
Mar 29, 2026
at DEN
93 (lost)
117 (lost)
Feb 22, 2026
at GSW
128 (won)
129 (won)
Nov 7, 2025
at DEN
104 (lost)
131 (lost)
Oct 23, 2025
at GSW
137 (won)
104 (lost)
Apr 4, 2025
at GSW
118 (won)
114 (won)
Mar 17, 2025
at GSW
105 (lost)
119 (won)
Dec 3, 2024
at DEN
115 (lost)
119 (won)
Feb 25, 2024
at GSW
103 (lost)
130 (won)
Jan 4, 2024
at GSW
127 (lost)
120 (won)
Dec 25, 2023
at DEN
114 (lost)

05 · Lineups

Lineups & injuries

Projected from season role. Not a confirmed lineup.

DEN

Projected starters

Nikola Jokić

27.7 pts · 12.9 reb · 10.7 ast

Jamal Murray

25.4 pts · 4.4 reb · 7.1 ast

Aaron Gordon

16.2 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast

Peyton Watson

14.6 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.1 ast

Christian Braun

12.0 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.7 ast

GSW

Projected starters

Stephen Curry

26.6 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.7 ast

Jimmy Butler III

20.0 pts · 5.6 reb · 4.9 ast

Kristaps Porziņģis

16.7 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.5 ast

Brandin Podziemski

13.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 3.7 ast

De'Anthony Melton

12.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.6 ast

No injuries reported.