How accurate is the model? Every prediction it makes — match winners, over/unders, and player props — is graded against the official final score. Numbers cover the current model (since its 2026-05-22 upgrade); the sample is still early, so treat it as directional.
70%
7–3 winners called right
How often the model picks the winning team — graded against the final score. Over/under and player props are tracked as separate categories below.
Match winners
70%
7–3 correct
Did the predicted winner actually win?
Over / under
50%
5–5 correct
Did the O/U lean beat the bookmaker line vs the final total?
Player props
51%
119–116 correct
Player-stat over/unders the model favored.
Every game the model called a winner for (all-time), graded vs the final score.
10 games
NYK @ SAS
Pick: NYK
NYK won 94–90
SAS @ NYK
Pick: NYK
NYK won 107–106
SAS @ NYK
Pick: NYK
SAS won 115–111
NYK @ SAS
Pick: NYK
NYK won 105–104
NYK @ SAS
Pick: NYK
NYK won 105–95
SAS @ OKC
Pick: OKC
SAS won 111–103
OKC @ SAS
Pick: SAS
SAS won 118–91
SAS @ OKC
Pick: OKC
OKC won 127–114
NYK @ CLE
Pick: CLE
NYK won 130–93
OKC @ SAS
Pick: OKC
OKC won 123–108
| Date | Matchup | Model pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13 | NYK @ SAS | NYK | NYK won 94–90 | Correct |
| Jun 10 | SAS @ NYK | NYK | NYK won 107–106 | Correct |
| Jun 8 | SAS @ NYK | NYK | SAS won 115–111 | Wrong |
| Jun 5 | NYK @ SAS | NYK | NYK won 105–104 | Correct |
| Jun 3 | NYK @ SAS | NYK | NYK won 105–95 | Correct |
| May 30 | SAS @ OKC | OKC | SAS won 111–103 | Wrong |
| May 28 | OKC @ SAS | SAS | SAS won 118–91 | Correct |
| May 26 | SAS @ OKC | OKC | OKC won 127–114 | Correct |
| May 25 | NYK @ CLE | CLE | NYK won 130–93 | Wrong |
| May 22 | OKC @ SAS | OKC | OKC won 123–108 | Correct |
The model's total lean vs the bookmaker line (all-time), graded vs the final combined score.
10 games
NYK @ SAS
Pick: OVER 216.5
184 total
SAS @ NYK
Pick: OVER 216.5
213 total
SAS @ NYK
Pick: OVER 216.5
226 total
NYK @ SAS
Pick: OVER 215.5
209 total
NYK @ SAS
Pick: OVER 217.5
200 total
SAS @ OKC
Pick: OVER 212.5
214 total
OKC @ SAS
Pick: OVER 218.5
209 total
SAS @ OKC
Pick: OVER 217.5
241 total
NYK @ CLE
Pick: OVER 218.5
223 total
OKC @ SAS
Pick: OVER 217.5
231 total
| Date | Matchup | Model pick | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13 | NYK @ SAS | OVER 216.5 | 184 total | Wrong |
| Jun 10 | SAS @ NYK | OVER 216.5 | 213 total | Wrong |
| Jun 8 | SAS @ NYK | OVER 216.5 | 226 total | Correct |
| Jun 5 | NYK @ SAS | OVER 215.5 | 209 total | Wrong |
| Jun 3 | NYK @ SAS | OVER 217.5 | 200 total | Wrong |
| May 30 | SAS @ OKC | OVER 212.5 | 214 total | Correct |
| May 28 | OKC @ SAS | OVER 218.5 | 209 total | Wrong |
| May 26 | SAS @ OKC | OVER 217.5 | 241 total | Correct |
| May 25 | NYK @ CLE | OVER 218.5 | 223 total | Correct |
| May 22 | OKC @ SAS | OVER 217.5 | 231 total | Correct |
Player-stat over/unders the model favored — positive edge (all-time).
200 results
Landry Shamet
Over Assists 1.5
Model 46% · Edge +14.0% · Odds 3.10
Julian Champagnie
Over Assists 1.5
Model 46% · Edge +12.2% · Odds 2.78
Landry Shamet
Over Rebounds 1.5
Model 46% · Edge +7.0% · Odds 2.38
Dylan Harper
Over Assists 3.5
Model 46% · Edge +5.8% · Odds 2.34
Jalen Brunson
Over Rebounds 3.5
Model 46% · Edge +5.4% · Odds 2.28
De'Aaron Fox
Over Rebounds 3.5
Model 46% · Edge +3.0% · Odds 2.16
De'Aaron Fox
Under Assists 5.5
Model 46% · Edge +3.0% · Odds 2.20
Mikal Bridges
Over Rebounds 3.5
Model 46% · Edge +3.0% · Odds 2.16
Devin Vassell
Over Assists 2.5
Model 46% · Edge +2.5% · Odds 2.16
OG Anunoby
Over Rebounds 5.5
Model 46% · Edge +2.1% · Odds 2.14
Devin Vassell
Under Rebounds 4.5
Model 46% · Edge +1.4% · Odds 2.20
Karl-Anthony Towns
Over Rebounds 11.5
Model 46% · Edge +1.4% · Odds 2.15
Stephon Castle
Under Rebounds 4.5
Model 46% · Edge +1.4% · Odds 2.18
Jalen Brunson
Under Assists 5.5
Model 46% · Edge +0.1% · Odds 2.12
Miles McBride
Over Points 4.5
Model 66% · Edge +19.8% · Odds 2.02
Jalen Brunson
Under Rebounds 2.5
Model 43% · Edge +3.0% · Odds 2.40
De'Aaron Fox
Over Rebounds 3.5
Model 43% · Edge +0.7% · Odds 2.22
Devin Vassell
Over Assists 2.5
Model 43% · Edge +0.7% · Odds 2.40
Dylan Harper
Over Assists 3.5
Model 43% · Edge +0.7% · Odds 2.22
De'Aaron Fox
Over Assists 6.5
Model 43% · Edge +0.1% · Odds 2.40
| Date | Player | Pick | Model % | Edge | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13 | Landry Shamet | Over Assists 1.5 | 46% | +14.0% | 3.10 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | Julian Champagnie | Over Assists 1.5 | 46% | +12.2% | 2.78 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | Landry Shamet | Over Rebounds 1.5 | 46% | +7.0% | 2.38 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | Dylan Harper | Over Assists 3.5 | 46% | +5.8% | 2.34 | Win |
| Jun 13 | Jalen Brunson | Over Rebounds 3.5 | 46% | +5.4% | 2.28 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | De'Aaron Fox | Over Rebounds 3.5 | 46% | +3.0% | 2.16 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | De'Aaron Fox | Under Assists 5.5 | 46% | +3.0% | 2.20 | Win |
| Jun 13 | Mikal Bridges | Over Rebounds 3.5 | 46% | +3.0% | 2.16 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | Devin Vassell | Over Assists 2.5 | 46% | +2.5% | 2.16 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | OG Anunoby | Over Rebounds 5.5 | 46% | +2.1% | 2.14 | Win |
| Jun 13 | Devin Vassell | Under Rebounds 4.5 | 46% | +1.4% | 2.20 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | Karl-Anthony Towns | Over Rebounds 11.5 | 46% | +1.4% | 2.15 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | Stephon Castle | Under Rebounds 4.5 | 46% | +1.4% | 2.18 | Loss |
| Jun 13 | Jalen Brunson | Under Assists 5.5 | 46% | +0.1% | 2.12 | Win |
| Jun 10 | Miles McBride | Over Points 4.5 | 66% | +19.8% | 2.02 | Loss |
| Jun 10 | Jalen Brunson | Under Rebounds 2.5 | 43% | +3.0% | 2.40 | Loss |
| Jun 10 | De'Aaron Fox | Over Rebounds 3.5 | 43% | +0.7% | 2.22 | Win |
| Jun 10 | Devin Vassell | Over Assists 2.5 | 43% | +0.7% | 2.40 | Win |
| Jun 10 | Dylan Harper | Over Assists 3.5 | 43% | +0.7% | 2.22 | Loss |
| Jun 10 | De'Aaron Fox | Over Assists 6.5 | 43% | +0.1% | 2.40 | Win |
Last publish batch: success · Sep 3, 2026, 7:04 PM